GLOBAL ECONOMY ALERT: Middle East War se Tel ki Qimaton mein Ubaal, Duniya bhar ke Share Bazaar Dharaashayi
West Asia mein badhte tanaav ne tel ki qimaton mein aag laga di hai aur share bazaar ko poori tarah crash kar diya hai. Kya yeh aane wale bade sankat ka ishara hai?
NEW YORK/MUMBAI: Geopolitical tanaav ne ek baar phir global economy ko hila kar rakh diya hai. West Asia (Middle East) mein badhte sangharsh ne niveshako ke beech dar ka mahaul paida kar diya hai, jiska seedha asar tel ki qimaton aur stock markets par dikh raha hai. Nayi reports ke mutabiq, Iran aur Israel ke beech tanaav badhne se kache tel (Crude Oil) ki supply rukne ka khatra paida ho gaya hai, jis se qimaton mein achanak ubaal aa gaya hai. Wahin, duniya bhar ke share bazaaron mein bhari girawat darj ki gayi hai, aur niveshako ke arabon dollar doob gaye hain.
Kache Tel ki Qimaton mein Tezi: Brent Crude $102 ke Paar
Market experts ki bhavishyavani (prediction) sach sabit ho rahi hai. Middle East conflict ke karan global crude oil ki supply chain par asar pada hai.
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Naye Records: International market mein Brent Crude oil ki qimat $102 per barrel ke naye uchhtam star (high) ko chhu gayi hai, jabki WTI crude oil bhi $98 ke aaspaas trade kar raha hai. Yeh qimatein pichle do saalo mein sabse zyada hain.
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Supply ka Khatra: Strait of Hormuz, jahan se duniya ka lagbhag ek-tihaai (one-third) seborad-traded tel guzarta hai, par naakabandi ke darr ne qimaton ko aur hawa di hai. Analyst ka manna hai ki agar tanaav jaari raha, toh tel $115 per barrel tak ja sakta hai.
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Aam Aadmi par Asar: Bharat jaise deshon ke liye, jo apni zarurat ka 80% se zyada tel import karte hain, yeh ek bada jhatka hai. Tel ki qimatein badhne se transportation aur manufacturing cost badhegi, jis se petrol, diesel aur aam zarurat ki cheezein (essential items) mehngi ho sakti hain.
Stock Markets: Nifty aur Sensex mein “Black Friday” jaisa Mahaul
Global geopolitical crisis ka asar Indian Stock Market par bhi bhari pada. Niveshako ne darr ke maare apne stocks bechna shuru kar diya, jis se Sensex aur Nifty dono dharaashayi ho gaye.
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Badi Girawat: Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) ka benchmark index, Sensex, din ke karobar mein 800 points se zyada tut gaya. National Stock Exchange (NSE) ka Nifty 50 index bhi 2% se zyada ki girawat ke saath 23,200 ke nishan se neeche fisal gaya.
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Investor Loss: Is girawat se niveshako ke lagbhag 34 lakh crore rupees ka munaafa doob gaya hai. Sabse zyada asar banking, auto, aur oil & gas sectors par pada. Global indices, jaise New York ka Dow Jones (-3.1%), London ka FTSE 100 (-2.3%), aur Japan ka Nikkei (-2.5%) bhi bhari girawat mein rahe.
Niveshako ka “Safe Haven” assets ki taraf rukh: Sone (Gold) ki Chamak Badhi
Jab bazaar mein anishchitta (uncertainty) aur darr ka mahaul hota hai, toh niveshak risk kam karne ke liye safer assets ki taraf bhagte hain.
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Gold at New High: Sone ki demand achanak badh gayi hai. International market mein gold 3% se zyada badhkar $2,150 per ounce par pahunch gaya. Bharat mein bhi MCX par sone ki qimaton mein naye record bane hain. 24K sone ka bhav ₹75,000 per 10 gram ke paar chala gaya.
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Currency Impact: US dollar aur Japanese Yen jaisi currencies bhi मजबूत hui hain, jabki emerging market currencies (jaise Indian Rupee) kamzor ho gayi hain. Rupaya dollar ke muqable historical low par pahunchne ke kareeb hai, jo import ko aur mehnga bana dega.